- Bitcoin (BTC) has been tipped to imitate the long-term growth of Amazon’s stock, AMZN, once its four-year cycle comes to an end.
- Other analysts have also predicted that Bitcoin could surpass the market cap of gold, which is currently hovering around $22 trillion.
Bitcoin (BTC) is making an attempt to overtake its all-time-high price at $109k, after staging a bullish reversal from $74k to $93k. According to our market data, the ultimate move is expected to be triggered by macroeconomic factors that could position the asset as an inflationary hedge.
Having assessed its growth for the past 16 years, an analyst has highlighted that Bitcoin may mirror the long-term growth of Amazon once it ends its four-year cycle.
The Details
In a chart detailing the performance of Amazon’s stock AMZN from the early 2000s to 2025, the asset’s journey from $1 to $230 was highlighted. According to the chart, AMZN went through multiple downturns. However, it showed resilience and tenacity to overcome all the challenges and broad market liquidations.
Comparing it to the historical price movement of Bitcoin, analysts have found similar traits of resilience and strength as the asset has, on multiple occasions, overcome major crashes triggered by exchange collapse and crypto crackdowns.
Recently, multiple crypto experts, including Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan, pointed out that Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle is over. According to Hougan, economic factors have become the latest drivers of the four-year cycle rather than Bitcoin halving events. Fascinatingly, Bitcoin Archive has disclosed that this situation could align Bitcoin with Amazon’s long-term growth in the next 20 years.
Reacting to this, an analyst confirmed that the four-year cycle is over indeed. According to him, Bitcoin is moving towards broader macroeconomic forces, positioning it as a sustainable asset.
Amidst the backdrop of this, scarcity has hit Bitcoin’s supply as only 165,000 BTC is expected to be mined in 2025. Meanwhile, 95,000 BTC was reportedly acquired by institutional investors in the first quarter of the year (Q1 2025).
Joining the Bitcoin discussion, Bitget Managing Director and CEO Gracy Chen has also estimated the market cap of the digital asset to surpass that of gold in 2025.
Bitcoin will definitely surpass gold in terms of the market cap, at least for a while, maybe in this year or in the upcoming few years. That means Bitcoin has another two to three times of growth in terms of its price.
At the time of writing, gold’s market cap was around $22.6 trillion, while Bitcoin’s market cap was only around $1.86 trillion.
As detailed in our recent blog post, analyst Daink has also observed that Bitcoin has entered the accumulation phase while Gold continues to rise, confirming their decoupling relationship. However, he believes that this could soon be reversed based on historical trends. For this year, Cardano’s co-founder Charles Hoskinson has predicted that Bitcoin could hit $250k, as mentioned in our previous news brief.
In our recent update, analyst Ali Martinez has also predicted that Bitcoin could hit $155k once it successfully holds above the $91k level.
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